Friday, February 13, 2015

NQ Trader Presents Kennth Reid Ph.D





NQ Trader Presents

 

On Thursday, February 12th at 10am EST, Dr. Kenneth Reid joined NQ Trader’s morning group for a live hour-long presentation. 

 

Dr. Reid holds a Ph.D. in Clinical Psychology and is a trained psychotherapist. He has spent most of his career working as a trading coach. Over the last 14 years he has worked with all sorts of traders, but specializes in helping traders who have Attention Deficit Disorder (ADD)-like symptoms.

About NQ Trader

NQ Trader teaches a combination of scalping, swing and position trading using price action and technical analysis, based on standard practices that produce an excellent win ratio daily, with live instructions to guide you through the processes of learning to trade futures.

NQ Trader is a boutique trading school dedicated to teaching you how to trade.

For Additional information or to sign up for a free trial contact NQ Trader



1-754-800-1810

 

 

Saturday, February 7, 2015

Trading is about probabilities not predictions


Trading is about probabilities not predictions

 

Many of the people that start out trading futures feel that there is a comparison between trading and casino gambling.  Gambling is the wagering of money or something of material value on an event with an uncertain outcome. This is not the case with trading.

In many ways there are similarities between trading and gambling, but one of the big differences is, a skilled futures trader will be taking the position of the house and not the gambler. Anyone that has spent any time in the casinos knows the house always wins in the end.

In finance, trading is described as an exchange of a security (stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, derivatives or any valuable financial instrument) for "cash". Both parties seek to derive value from the trade. Some traders think this makes trading is a zero sum game where someone has to lose in order for someone to win. On a macro scale this may be true, but not for the professional futures traders.

As the trader assumes a position on an instrument in the market, he or she may be relieving someone of their profitable position. At this point they may go on to make even more profits out of this instrument.  At some point in trading a poorly executed trade may be made and loses may occur. Generally this happens when the market unexpectedly shifts directions and traders move out of positions so as not to expose themselves to even greater loses. This result can be, but is not always part of a trading system. Most trading systems will have an acceptable lose ratio.

A quality trading system is based on statistic and probabilities.  An experienced trader will look for signals. These signals are tested and based on quantifiable information, compiled over a long period of time. These trading signals with have safeguards built in and will also have probabilities attached to the actions.

Also included in the trading system will be rules to follow.  These rules are composed of pre-determined targets and stop losses. There will be variables in the trading system and they will be documented and specific actions will be followed based on the variable.

If the trading system is performed accurately without mistakes there is an anticipated outcome probability. This outcome will achieve a profitable result. This is not gambling.

As a simplistic example, take the coin flip game, heads or tails. The guaranteed outcome of this game is 50%. If a player chooses heads every single flip of the coin, what are the outcome probabilities? They can only be 50%, so if the player chooses heads every time it’s not gambling. The maximum target is always achieved.

So how does someone win at this game? The easiest answer is to adjust the payouts to someone’s favor and maintain the system as it becomes profitable.

Obviously trading systems are more complex and there are multiple facets to trading, including the system itself, the mechanical actions and requirements of the trader are equally important, and the inherent human nature to change the rules based on outside influences is one of the hardest parts to overcome.

Trading is about probabilities, stick with the system consistently and you will have consistent results. Remember, trading should not be gambling.

 

 

Jordan Schleider is a successful semi-retired entrepreneur and venture capitalist with a strong business and engineering background. His widely varied portfolio of businesses includes software, hardware and networking design and implementation, construction, building and real-estate development, mental health, and fitness centers, as well as business consulting, restaurants and nightclubs.  He has a trading and investing knowledge base that spans over 20 years, and he has recently taken a strong interest in teaching others what he has mastered. His most recent undertaking, NQ Trader, is a small boutique educational trading school, devoted to helping traders master their skills.

info@nqtrader.us
http://nqtrader.us
1-754-800-1810      

Dr. Kenneth Reid will be joining NQ Trader’s morning group for a live hour-long presentation.

NQ Trader Presents

On Thursday, February 12th at 10am EST, Dr. Kenneth Reid will be joining NQ Trader’s morning group for a live hour-long presentation. 
 
Dr. Reid holds a Ph.D. in Clinical Psychology and is a trained psychotherapist. He has spent most of his career working as a trading coach. Over the last 14 years he has worked with all sorts of traders, but specializes in helping traders who have Attention Deficit Disorder (ADD)-like symptoms.

ADD has two sides. On the upside, it makes people creative, spontaneous and flexible. One seeks out risk and enjoys throwing one’s hat in the ring. These folks have amazing energy and focus, when they are really interested in something.

On the downside, individuals with ADD-like symptoms lack discipline. They reinvent the wheel; they overtrade. They can’t follow their rules, even when they want to. Often, ADD traders work very hard, but have little to show for it. They get totally absorbed in what they do, but they don’t actually work very efficiently.

In terms of results, individuals with ADD-like symptoms tend to be either boom-bust traders or breakeven traders.

In this 45-minute presentation Dr. Reid will present a simple self-test attendees  can take to determine whether they  have ADD-like symptoms. He will discuss the ways in which these tendencies sabotage trading and what can be done about it.

Attendees will also receive a free video on this topic, which you can download and keep as a reference.

Space will be limited and you must register in advance. Please use the following link http://nqtrader.us/kennethreid.php  or email info@nqtrader.us

About NQ Trader

NQ Trader teaches a combination of scalping, swing and position trading using price action and technical analysis, based on standard practices that produce an excellent win ratio daily, with live instructions to guide you through the processes of learning to trade futures.
 
NQ Trader is a boutique trading school dedicated to teaching you how to trade.
 
For Additional information or to sign up for a free trial contact NQ Trader

http://nqtrader.us
1-754-800-1810

 

 

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

Japanese Candlesticks for price action trading



Japanese Candlesticks for price action trading 

I found another article about trading that I wanted to post for NQ Trader. Contact us at http://nqtrader.us or call 754-800-1810 or email info@nqtrader.us 
 








The Japanese began using technical analysis to trade rice in the 17th century. While this early version of technical analysis was different from the US version initiated by Charles Dow around 1900, many of the guiding principles were very similar:

·         The “what” (price action) is more important than the “why” (news, earnings, and so on).

·         All known information is reflected in the price.

·         Buyers and sellers move markets based on expectations and emotions (fear and greed).

·         Markets fluctuate.

·         The actual price may not reflect the underlying value.

According to Steve Nison, candlestick charting first appeared sometime after 1850. Much of the credit for candlestick development and charting goes to a legendary rice trader named Homma from the town of Sakata. It is likely that his original ideas were modified and refined over many years of trading eventually resulting in the system of candlestick charting that we use today.

Formation

In order to create a candlestick chart, you must have a data set that contains open, high, low and close values for each time period you want to display. The hollow or filled portion of the candlestick is called “the body” (also referred to as “the real body”). The long thin lines above and below the body represent the high/low range and are called “shadows” (also referred to as “wicks” and “tails”). The high is marked by the top of the upper shadow and the low by the bottom of the lower shadow. If the stock closes higher than its opening price, a hollow candlestick is drawn with the bottom of the body representing the opening price and the top of the body representing the closing price. If the stock closes lower than its opening price, a filled candlestick is drawn with the top of the body representing the opening price and the bottom of the body representing the closing price.

 

An Introduction about E-Minis for Beginners


I found this book from NQ Trader. If you want more visit NQ Trader at http://nqtrader.us or email info@nqtrader.us or call 754-800-1810
 
An Introduction about E-Minis for Beginners

 

In the past book (“Futures Trading Guidlines”), an overview of futures contracts was explained. This time, we will explain a particular form of futures contract that is widely being traded in various platforms. This is specifically about E-Minis.

 

In this book, we will define e-minis, as well as its characteristics and specifications. A description of its players or traders will also be provided here in order for you to understand their tendencies and capabilities. Also, these shall guide beginners in this field to identify if e-minis trading is for them or not. Moreover, we will also share with you the three (3) things that you would need to decide upon on your way forward in e-minis trading.

 

 

Defining E-Minis

 

Generally, E-minis are futures contracts that are being traded electronically. There are two (2) components that explain why it is called as “e-minis,” which are the “e” and the “minis.”

 

On the one hand, the “e” in its name suggests how it is being traded, as stated above, which is electronically. On the other hand, “minis” refers to its size. This is because e-minis just represent a certain percentage of the regular or standard futures contracts. Hence, what this means is that e-minis are small futures contracts.

 

Characteristics of E-Minis: What makes it different?

 

Aside from differentiating e-minis from other financial instruments, there are also some characteristics that make them more attractive. These are particularly in terms of volume, liquidity, volatility, accessibility and affordability.

 

1.    Volume

 

This is the number of contracts that are being traded at a particular period of time. E-minis are among the most traded all over the world. Specifically, the e-mini S&P 500 is being traded worldwide through at least 2.2 million contracts a day, on the average.

 

2.    Liquidity

 

This characteristic is about the ability to efficiently and quickly implement any size of order without a significant change in its price. In other words, what this is simply about how a trader can enter and exit positions quickly. There are usually four (4) indicators in order to measure liquidity of an instrument. These are:

 

-       Width: tightness of the bid-ask spread;

-       Depth: volume of orders that rest beyond the best offer and bid;

-       Immediacy: rate of how fast that a large market order can be executed; and

-       Resiliency: turnaround time of the market to go back after filling a large order.

 

3.    Volatility

 

This characteristic refers to the rate of price movements, whether it is going up or down, of a particular instrument or market. When a market is volatile, investors and traders have the opportunity to profit from the changes in the price, depending on the movement.

 

For example, when a trader bought a contract for a low price and its market price suddenly increased significantly; he or she can sell it. His or her profit will then be the difference of the current price to how much the contract was originally bought.

 

4.    Accessibility

 

E-minis can be traded in all electronic platforms 24 hours a day. This is a very important factor for many investors and traders, not only in a particular country, but all over the world as well.

 

5.    Affordability

 

E-minis can offer very attractive margin rates. What this means is that you can enter position using small account, instead of a full-sized contract. This is especially important for traders who are just beginning in the field of financial investment.

 

There are two (2) general kinds of margins, which are initial and maintenance. On the one hand, initial margin is the amount that traders need to pay upon initiating or entering a position. Maintenance margin, on the other hand, refers to the level in order to maintain their positions over time.

 

The required margin varies from one contract to another. It may also depend on the broker. For example, there are some e-minis that you can trade for as low as $500.

 

 

E-minis Specifications You Need to Know

 

E-minis have contract specifications, which have components that you need to know in order to understand what they mean. The following is an example of contract specifications:

 

Contract
Symbol
Exchange
Contract Size
Tick Size
Contract Months
E-mini NASDAQ 100 F
NQ
Globex
$20 x Index
0.25 = $5.00
H, M, U, Z

 

Now, let us dissect those elements one by one.

 

1.    Ticker Symbol is consisted of letters, which represent a particular contract. Such symbol is the one being used in order to create price charts, as well as to execute orders or positions in the market. In the above example, the ticker symbol is NQ, which refers to E-mini NASDAQ 100 futures contracts.

2.    Exchange refers to the market place, where a contract is, and can be, traded. The purpose of this is to make sure that there is a fair and orderly environment for trading. This market place also provides an efficient venue in disseminating information on prices. The market place can either be a physical or virtual location.

3.    Contract Size refers to the value of the futures contract and an index multiplier. In the above example, $20 is the contract price while the multiplier is “Index.”

4.    Tick Size refers to the minimum price fluctuation allowed for the contract in a trading session. In the above example, 25 cents is the smallest price fluctuation for the contract while each tick is representing $20.00.

5.    Contract Month refers to the particular period when the contract will expire. There are some contracts that expire quarterly; hence, they have multiple contract months. One letter represents a month, as shown in the following table:

 

Code
Month
F
January
G
February
H
March
J
April
K
May
M
June
N
July
Q
August
U
September
V
October
X
November
Z
December

 

In the above example, the contract will expire by the end of each quarter, which are in the months of March (H), June (M), September (U) and December (Z).

 

 

Who are the players or E-Minis traders?

 

Anyone may engage into e-minis trading. However, there are four (4) different kinds of players that you might bump into when trading. They will either be any of the following:

 

1.    Institutional Traders

 

Traders like these place high-value positions. They usually represent institutional investors like owners mutual, pension or hedge funds and even insurance companies. They can do this because they have the capital to trade large positions, which makes e-minis even more attractive for them. Institutional traders also trade e-minis in order to hedge their investments against bigger futures contracts.

 

2.    Managed Funds Traders

 

Traders like these can be a single person or a group of traders, who manage investment funds. The composition of the group usually depends on the size of the fund. If it is big, then more people would need to manage it. Otherwise, for small funds, a single investor might be enough.

 

What makes e-minis attractive for managed funds traders is because of its technical nature. Specifically, this is since e-minis are based on various stocks, instead of just a single stock. Hence, what this means that its price, for instance, will not move just because of a single fundamental news about a company. Therefore, traders can use technical analysis.

 

3.    High Frequency Trading (HFT) Firms

 

Traders like these make money through short-term trades. Firms like these are big enough to invest on more advance systems that allow them to rapidly identify or even executive trades. Usually, they can liquidate their traders within the trading day, E-minis are also attractive for HFT firms because of their technical and behavioural structures.

 

4.    Retail Traders

 

As its names suggest, this type of participant refers to individual traders, who do not work for institutions, firms or manage funds. They can work from their own home. In order to earn, what retail traders is to trade on a daily basis. The trading style of retail traders depends on various factors such as:

 

-       Experience;

-       Risk tolerance;

-       Account or fund size;

-       Personality; and

-       Availability.

 

With the foregoing, retail traders can trade e-minis in various styles, whether position, swing, day or scalp trading.

 

-       Position Trading has long term time frame, which holding period may last from months to years;

-       Swing Trading has a short term time frame, which holding period may last from days to weeks;

-       Day Trading has a short term time frame, which holding period may last within the day only. What this means is that there is no position held overnight; and

-       Scalp trading has an extreme short term time frame, which holding period only lasts from seconds or even a few minutes. Like the previous one, there is also no trade being held overnight for this particular style.

 

Getting Started with E-Minis Trading

 

Now that you already know some of the basic information about e-minis, the next thing that you need to know is about how to get started. On your way forward, there are three (3) important things that you need to decide, which are about the platform, techniques and size.

 

1.    Platform

 

It can either be a standalone or web-based platform. The right one you need to choose depends on your preference. On the one hand, standalone platforms are usually more robust; while, on the other hand, web-based platforms can give you flexibility. This is because the latter option will allow you to trade through an internet connection, regardless of your location.

 

2.    Techniques

 

There are different techniques that you can follow in order to start your trading. These techniques are about placement methodology. Traders have the option to place their trades, either discretionary, semi-automated or automated. Of course, each of these techniques have their own sets of pros and cons.

 

3.    Size

 

As stated above, you can trade e-minis with just a low margin. Hence, you can choose to open a small trading account first. However, as you gain experience in this field, you might want to increase the size of your positions. This is because it will offer you greater profits. However, you also need to take note that it will entail greater risks as well.

 

Whatever your choice is training is the most important piece of the puzzle.